Iran Has Enough Fuel for a Nuclear Weapon, IAEA Has No Idea What They Can Do With It

Contrast this conclusion:

In the report to its board, the atomic agency said Iran’s main enrichment plant was now feeding uranium into about 3,800 centrifuges — machines that spin incredibly fast to enrich the element into nuclear fuel. That count is the same as in the agency’s last quarterly report, in September. Iran began installing the centrifuges in early 2007. But the new report’s total of 630 kilograms — an increase of about 150 — shows that Iran has been making progress in accumulating material to make nuclear fuel.

That uranium has been enriched to the low levels needed to fuel a nuclear reactor. To further purify it to the highly enriched state needed to fuel a nuclear warhead, Iran would have to reconfigure its centrifuges and do a couple months of additional processing, nuclear experts said.

“They have a weapon’s worth,” Thomas B. Cochran, a senior scientist in the nuclear program of the Natural Resources Defense Council, a private group in Washington that tracks atomic arsenals, said in an interview.

He said the amount was suitable for a relatively advanced implosion-type weapon like the one dropped on Nagasaki. Its core, he added, would be about the size of a grapefruit. He said a cruder design would require about twice as much weapon-grade fuel.

“It’s a virtual milestone,” Dr. Cochran said of Iran’s stockpile. It is not an imminent threat, he added, because the further technical work to make fuel for a bomb would tip off inspectors, the United States and other powers about “where they’re going.”

With this report:

The International Atomic Energy Agency reported Wednesday that it is stymied in its efforts to resolve questions about whether Iran is pursuing nuclear weapons. The report, submitted to the IAEA’s 35-nation board of governors, is available here.

“As a result of the lack of cooperation by Iran”, the report says, “the Agency has not been able to make substantive progress on these issues. . . . Iran needs to provide the Agency with substantive information to support its statements and provide access to relevant documentation and individuals.”

Unless Iran provides greater cooperation, it adds, “the Agency will not be able to provide credible assurance about the absence of undeclared nuclear material and activities in Iran.”

“As a result of the lack of cooperation by Iran”, the report says, “the Agency has not been able to make substantive progress on these issues. . . . Iran needs to provide the Agency with substantive information to support its statements and provide access to relevant documentation and individuals.”

Unless Iran provides greater cooperation, it adds, “the Agency will not be able to provide credible assurance about the absence of undeclared nuclear material and activities in Iran.”

In short, Iran has enough uranium to make a weapon, but not the technical expertise. But that’s really only an assumption, because the absolutely worthless IAEA can’t “…provide credible assurance about the absence of undeclared nuclear material and activities…”

Toss in a President-Elect who has no idea what he’s doing, with a history of calling for appeasement and who’s surrounding himself with people who have a demonstrated propensity for appeaseing our enemies and abandoning our allies, and… One is left with a real sense of foreboding.

That just leaves Israel to do something about it. The only question is, once they do, what will Obama do?

Speak Your Mind

*